What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 82%, implying a 82% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Ryan Garner

Closes Jul 04, 2026 (17d) 24h volume 3.4K Open interest 7.1K Event Ryan Garner vs Michael Magnesi

82%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 83% · Low 83%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.