What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Michael Magnesi

Closes Jul 04, 2026 (17d) 24h volume 2.3K Open interest 4.4K Event Ryan Garner vs Michael Magnesi

16%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 19% · Low 17%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.