What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 11, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 4.80%

Closes Aug 11, 2026 (55d) 24h volume 205 Open interest 425 Event Brazil inflation rate in July

50%

implied YES probability

-6.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 59% · Low 48%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.