What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 4.80%

Closes Jul 10, 2026 (23d) 24h volume 43 Open interest 948 Event Brazil inflation rate in June

42%

implied YES probability

Last 10 days · High 63% · Low 30% · 7d +24.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.