What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 34%, implying a 34% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 04, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Lula da Silva, 5-10%

Closes Oct 04, 2027 (451d) 24h volume 20 Open interest 769 Event Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

34%

implied YES probability

Last 12 days · High 66% · Low 22% · 7d +3.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.