What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 20, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

During Trump's term

Closes Jan 20, 2029 (948d) 24h volume 516 Open interest 100.4K Event Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

30%

implied YES probability

Last 90 days · High 35% · Low 30% · 7d -6.2pp · 30d -3.2pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.