What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 32%, implying a 32% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 18, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 300K

Closes Jan 18, 2027 (192d) 24h volume 14 Open interest 272 Event Will Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026?

32%

implied YES probability

-7.0pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 46% · Low 25%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.