What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 19%, implying a 19% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 23, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Decline greater than 20%

Closes Feb 23, 2027 (228d) 24h volume 297 Open interest 1.4K Event Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

19%

implied YES probability

-6.0pp 24h

Last 13 days · High 78% · Low 19% · 7d -20.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.