What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 11, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Hike 1-25bps

Closes Aug 11, 2026 (55d) 24h volume 600 Open interest 522 Event Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in August

10%

implied YES probability

+6.0pp 24h

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.