What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 31%, implying a 31% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Maintain current rate

Closes Aug 05, 2026 (27d) 24h volume 61 Open interest 1.8K Event Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in August

31%

implied YES probability

+6.0pp 24h

Last 18 days · High 76% · Low 20% · 7d -12.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.