What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 84%, implying a 84% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 17, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Cut 25bps

Closes Jun 17, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 539 Open interest 3.8K Event Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in June

84%

implied YES probability

-6.0pp 24h

Last 14 days · High 90% · Low 27% · 7d +221.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.