What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Maintain current rate

Closes Jul 30, 2026 (20d) 24h volume 1.5K Open interest 11.9K Event Bank of England rate decision in July

96%

implied YES probability

Last 20 days · High 97% · Low 80% · 7d +3.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.