What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 90%, implying a 90% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Maintain current rate

Closes Aug 06, 2026 (28d) 24h volume 12 Open interest 2.7K Event Bank of Mexico rate decision in August

90%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 12 days · High 94% · Low 81% · 7d +7.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.