What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 39%, implying a 39% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 24, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Cut 25bps

Closes Jul 24, 2026 (14d) 24h volume 770 Open interest 1.5K Event Bank of Russia rate decision in July

39%

implied YES probability

-9.0pp 24h

Last 12 days · High 64% · Low 40% · 7d -25.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.