What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 78%, implying a 78% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Cut 50bps

Closes Jun 19, 2026 (2d) 24h volume 40 Open interest 6.0K Event Bank of Russia rate decision in June

78%

implied YES probability

Last 37 days · High 95% · Low 24% · 7d +5.1pp · 30d +26.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.