What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 84%, implying a 84% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 23, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Hike 1-25bps

Closes Jul 23, 2026 (13d) 24h volume 24 Open interest 2.2K Event South African Reserve Bank rate decision in July

84%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 15 days · High 82% · Low 46% · 7d +50.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.