What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 92%, implying a 92% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 23, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 24.6 million

Closes Jul 23, 2026 (36d) 24h volume 72 Open interest 2.1K Event Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q2

92%

implied YES probability

+10.0pp 24h

Last 35 days · High 91% · Low 26% · 7d -6.8pp · 30d +134.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.