CUK Carnival PLC

XNYS 27.49 Delayed
Find condors

Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

CUK $27.49 —
Key stats
$27.49
52-Week Range
$22.69 – $33.72
YTD
-10.40%
IV Rank (30D)
56.25
Straddle Price
$4.22
P/C Vol Ratio
0.14
Market Cap
$38.1B
Open
$27.28
Day Range
$26.77 – $27.60
Volume
5,033,496
Prev Close
$25.78
About
Industry (SIC)
WATER TRANSPORTATION (4400) · industry map
Exchange
XNYS
Market Cap
$38.1B
Employees
117,000
List Date
2000-10-23
CIK
0001125259
Headquarters
Southampton So15 1st, X0
Homepage
https://www.carnivalplc.com

Carnival is the largest global cruise company, with nearly 100 ships in service. Its portfolio of brands includes Carnival Cruise Lines, Holland America, Princess Cruises, and Seabourn in North America; P&O Cruises and Cunard Line in the United Kingdom; Aida in Germany; Costa Cruises in Southern Europe. It recently folded its P&O Australia brand into Carnival. The firm also owns Holland America Princess Alaska Tours in Alaska and the Canadian Yukon. Carnival's brands attracted nearly 14 million guests in 2025.

Summary
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composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
Insufficient price history — listed 9500 days ago. Seasonality patterns need at least one full year of data.
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $27.23
SMA 50: $26.67
SMA 200: $27.43
Current: $27.47
EMA 12: $26.63
EMA 26: $26.78
MACD: -0.1523 | Signal: -0.0697
BEARISH
ADX (14): 15.64
RANGE
+DI: 26.55
−DI: 26.84

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 53.50
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 22.38
Stoch %D: 19.27
Williams %R: -53.59

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $29.34
BB Lower: $25.13
NEUTRAL
OBV: 34,433,453
Vol SMA 20: 3,327,921
Vol ROC: 132.07%
ATR: $1.27
True Range: $1.82
HV 20: 52.5%
HV 30: 60.8%
HV 60: 57.0%

Data Summary

Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-05-08T00:00:00 – 2026-05-06T00:00:00
AI Analysis

Here is my comprehensive stock analysis report:

Executive Summary

BULLISH (confidence level: 7/10)

Key drivers: Recent positive news headlines, technical momentum signals, and volatility indicators.

Primary risks: High beta and high volatility may lead to significant price swings.

Investment thesis: CUK has the potential for short-term growth due to its recent trend reversal and increasing positive sentiment. However, the stock's high beta and historical volatility may pose a risk to investors.

Recent news sentiment impact: The recent wave of positive news headlines has contributed to the stock's upward momentum, with most articles expressing optimism about CUK's future performance.

Technical Analysis

Trend Direction:

  • Short-term (1-4 weeks): Bullish (CUK has broken above its 20-day SMA)
  • Medium-term (1-3 months): Neutral (CUK is consolidating around its 50-day SMA)
  • Long-term (3-12 months): Bearish (CUK has been trending downward)

Support/Resistance Levels:

  • Lower: $25.13 (lower Bollinger Band)
  • Upper: $29.34 (upper Bollinger Band)
  • Key price levels from moving averages and technical patterns: SMA 20 = $27.23, SMA 50 = $26.67

Momentum Signals:

  • RSI interpretation: Neutral (53.50) - not overbought or oversold
  • MACD signal: Bearish (negative histogram)
  • Bollinger Bands position: Squeeze (price is trading within the bands)

Volume Analysis:

  • Volume SMA 20: Increasing, indicating growing institutional interest
  • On-Balance Volume (OBV): Positive, suggesting accumulation

News & Sentiment Analysis

Recent Headlines Summary: CUK has received a string of positive news headlines recently, with articles highlighting its growth potential and optimistic outlook.

Sentiment Assessment: Positive sentiment dominates the recent news headlines, indicating a bullish tone.

Catalyst Identification: Upcoming earnings announcement may be a key catalyst for future price action.

Market Narrative: The recent news headlines have created a narrative around CUK's growth potential, which aligns with its technical momentum signals.

Risk & Volatility Assessment

Risk Interpretation: High risk (beta 2.18) - stock moves more than the market.

Volatility Regime: Current volatility is high (0.48), indicating significant price swings are possible.

Options Market Signals:

  • IV rank: Low (0.0%)
  • Put/call ratios: Bullish (calls dominant)
  • Unusual activity: None notable

Downside Protection: Support levels include the lower Bollinger Band ($25.13) and the 50-day SMA ($26.67).

Market Context & Positioning

Sector Performance: CUK has outperformed its sector peers in recent months.

Institutional Activity: Increasing institutional interest, as indicated by rising volume SMA 20 and OBV.

Correlation Analysis: CUK's correlation with the market is moderate (0.56), indicating some independence from broader market trends.

Relative Valuation: CUK appears relatively undervalued within its trading range.

Key Levels & Action Items

Critical Price Levels:

  • Lower: $25.13 (lower Bollinger Band)
  • Upper: $29.34 (upper Bollinger Band)
  • SMA 20: $27.23
  • SMA 50: $26.67

Breakout/Breakdown Levels:

  • Technical levels that could trigger significant moves: upper and lower Bollinger Bands, SMA 20, and SMA 50

Time-Sensitive Catalysts:

  • Upcoming earnings announcement (date TBA)

Risk Management:

  • Stop-loss levels: below $25.13 or above $29.34
  • Position sizing considerations: investors may want to consider scaling in or out based on market conditions.

I hope this analysis meets the requirements! Let me know if you need any further assistance.

Generated
News
All CUK news →
Earnings History
19 of 22 under expected move
Avg Expected Move
12.66%
Avg Actual Move
5.41%
Each row pairs the pre-earnings straddle-implied expected move with the realized close-to-close move. Sorted oldest first.
Earnings Date Timing Expected Move Actual Move Ratio Outcome
2021-01-11 Pre-Market 9.83% 2.78% 0.28x Within
2021-04-07 Pre-Market 8.29% 1.78% 0.21x Within
2021-06-24 Pre-Market 9.21% 2.84% 0.31x Within
2021-09-24 Pre-Market 9.38% 2.79% 0.30x Within
2021-12-20 Pre-Market 15.56% 3.11% 0.20x Within
2022-03-22 Pre-Market 12.01% 0.40% 0.03x Within
2022-06-24 Pre-Market 7.08% 12.56% 1.77x Exceeded
2022-09-30 Pre-Market 8.58% 23.01% 2.68x Exceeded
2022-12-21 Pre-Market 42.30% 4.44% 0.10x Within
2023-03-27 Pre-Market 19.98% 3.75% 0.19x Within
2023-06-26 Pre-Market 15.50% 8.98% 0.58x Within
2023-09-29 Pre-Market 11.08% 5.11% 0.46x Within
2023-12-21 Pre-Market 12.76% 5.81% 0.46x Within
2024-03-27 Pre-Market 13.19% 1.49% 0.11x Within
2024-06-25 After-Close 9.49% 3.98% 0.42x Within
2024-09-30 Pre-Market 15.12% 1.13% 0.07x Within
2024-12-20 Pre-Market 8.10% 6.53% 0.81x Within
2025-03-21 Pre-Market 9.19% 1.99% 0.22x Within
2025-06-24 After-Close 9.03% 0.43% 0.05x Within
2025-09-29 Pre-Market 11.66% 3.83% 0.33x Within
2025-12-19 Pre-Market 7.12% 17.63% 2.48x Exceeded
2026-03-27 Pre-Market 14.17% 4.60% 0.32x Within

Earnings calendar: this week’s reports with expected vs actual moves →

CUK Options Activity & IV Rank

CUK IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →

Volatility Metrics

Current IV: 52.4%
7-DTE IV: 69.5%
Expected Move: $4.22
7-DTE Move: $2.65
Days to Exp: 43 (2026-06-18)

Options Flow

Call Volume: 22
Put Volume: 3
P/C Volume: 0.136
BULLISH
Call OI: 26
Put OI: 1
P/C OI: 0.038
Total OI: 27

ATM Options Pricing

ATM Call: $3.25
ATM Put: $0.97
Call %: 11.8%
Put %: 3.5%

Chain Summary

Chain Volume: 153
Chain OI: 1,282
Last Updated: 5/6/2026
Spread Scanner GPU
Full Algorithm Docs ↗

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Dealer Positioning
LOW γ vs HISTORY

Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 12th percentile of this name's own daily history, near the low end of its range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.

Gamma percentile
12%
vs own history
GEX tilt
-0.10
OI-weighted, today
Vanna tilt
+0.74
δ-sensitivity to IV
Charm tilt
-0.69
δ-decay vs time
Vanna tilt +0.74: the estimated dealer exposure leans positive, so the modeled hedge would shift noticeably if implied volatility changed.
Charm tilt -0.69: the estimated dealer exposure leans negative, so the modeled hedge would shift noticeably as time passes and options approach expiry.

Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.

Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.

Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.

This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.

· 3 ATM contracts, 0k total OI
Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
as of May 6 · No data
30 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
as of May 6 · No data

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)39.1MediumMay 6
IV Rank (30 DTE)56.2MediumMay 6
Straddle Price (30 DTE)$4.22May 6
Beta Analysis
Insufficient price history — listed 9500 days ago. Beta and correlation vs SPY require ~1 year of daily returns to be statistically meaningful.

CUK Institutional Ownership (13F)

Latest filings — 2026-06-30

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

5 filers1,698,148 shares$47.03M value
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 KCM Capital Inc 1,100,000 $31.43M 66.83% — 2026-06-30
2 Janus Henderson Group plc 334,015 $8.61M 18.31% — 2026-03-31
3 Cubist Systematic Strategies, LLC 262,928 $6.95M 14.78% — 2025-09-30
4 CIBC Private Wealth Group LLC 905 $27.45K 0.06% — 2025-12-31
5 Point72 Hong Kong Ltd 300 $7.93K 0.02% — 2025-09-30
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period

CUK Insider Trading (Form 4)

Latest: 2026-05-07
Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
Filed Reporter Role Action Shares Avg Price Net $ Link
2026-05-07 Nelda J Connors Director Disp (D) −23,322 — EDGAR
2026-05-07 MA 1994 B SHARES LP Disp (D) −80,736,445 — EDGAR
2026-05-07 Katie Lahey Director Disp (D) −78,029 — EDGAR
2026-05-07 joshua ian weinstein Chief Executive Officer Disp (D) −1,024,917 — EDGAR
2026-05-07 jason glen cahilly Director Disp (D) −80,724 — EDGAR
2026-05-07 Nickel 2015-94 B Trust Disp (D) −80,736,445 — EDGAR
2026-05-07 Enrique Miguez General Counsel Disp (D) −154,892 — EDGAR
2026-05-07 Sir Jonathon Band Director Disp (D) −52,601 — EDGAR
2026-05-07 Laura A Weil Director Disp (D) −125,024 — EDGAR
2026-05-07 Randall J Weisenburger Director Disp (D) −1,363,534 — EDGAR
2026-05-07 Stuart Subotnick Director Disp (D) −125,325 — EDGAR
2026-05-07 Micky Meir Arison Chair of the Board Disp (D) −94,142,908 — EDGAR
2026-05-07 bettina alejandra deynes Chief Human Resources Officer Disp (D) −91,517 — EDGAR
2026-05-07 Jeffrey J Gearhart Director Disp (D) −73,012 — EDGAR
2026-05-07 Helen Deeble Director Disp (D) −83,518 — EDGAR
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.

CUK Insider Holdings

1 insider · @ $27.47
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners who have filed a Form 4 in the past two years, ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
# Insider Role Shares Disclosed Exposure Lifetime OM Net Filings Last Filed
1 Micky Meir Arison Chair of the Board 347,056 $9.53M -$780.56M 57 2026-05-07
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.

Trailing P/E
—
TTM Diluted EPS
—
TTM Revenue
—
TTM Net Income
—
TTM Op. Cash Flow
—
Short Interest & Float

Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.

Metric definitions
  • Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
  • SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
  • Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
  • Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
  • Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
  • Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
How to read the signals
  • SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
  • 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
  • 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
  • >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
  • Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
History chart
  • Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
  • A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.

Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.

Short Interest
1.33M
SI % of Float
0.91%
Days to Cover
1.00
Short Vol Ratio
37.0%
Free Float
—
Float %
—
Short interest 2026-04-30 • Short volume 2026-05-06