What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Mar 31, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Above 97.9 million

Closes Mar 31, 2028 (652d) 24h volume — Open interest 204 Event Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026

4%

implied YES probability

Last 3 days · High 49% · Low 4%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.