What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before 2026

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (45d) 24h volume 2.3K Open interest 2.3K Event Will SCOTUS rule geofence warrants violated the Fourth Amendment?

38%

implied YES probability

+38.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 38% · Low 38%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.