What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 30, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Hikaru Nakamura

Closes Dec 30, 2028 (927d) 24h volume 10.5K Open interest 212.9K Event FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner

implied YES probability

Last 61 days · High 3% · Low 1% · 7d +200.0pp · 30d +200.0pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 1.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.