What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 65%, implying a 65% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 30, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Javokhir Sindarov

Closes Dec 30, 2028 (927d) 24h volume 2.4K Open interest 90.6K Event FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner

65%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 66 days · High 71% · Low 8% · 7d +1.6pp · 30d -3.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.