What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 72%, implying a 72% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 30, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Dec 30, 2028 (791d) All outcomes: FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner

chance of YES72%

Price range (120d)

68–72%

30d -1 pts · 7d +1 pts

24h volume

24.8K

$1 contracts

Open interest

142.7K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

70¢ / 73¢

spread 3.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 71.5¢ · spread 3.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 4:52 AM ET	YES	72¢	7,252	$5K
Oct 31, 4:51 AM ET	YES	71¢	5,031	$4K
Oct 30, 11:29 AM ET	NO	30¢	10,000	$3K
Oct 30, 8:13 AM ET	YES	72¢	4,722	$3K
Oct 28, 1:26 PM ET	YES	72¢	2,702	$2K
Oct 27, 10:55 PM ET	NO	30¢	8,000	$2K
Oct 26, 10:05 PM ET	NO	30¢	7,000	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.