What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 24%, implying a 24% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 30, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Dec 30, 2028 (791d) All outcomes: FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner

chance of YES24% -4.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

25–34%

30d -17 pts · 7d -14 pts

24h volume

6.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

144.8K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.