What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 07, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Ara Zada

Closes Jan 07, 2027 (204d) 24h volume 46 Open interest 8.6K Event Chopped Castaways S1: Winner

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 19 days · High 8% · Low 1% · 7d 0.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.