What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 54%, implying a 54% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 07, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Jean-Paul Bourgeois

Closes Jan 07, 2027 (204d) 24h volume 40 Open interest 31.0K Event Chopped Castaways S1: Winner

54%

implied YES probability

Last 47 days · High 97% · Low 4% · 7d -33.3pp · 30d -37.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.