What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 72%, implying a 72% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Will Jay Clayton be confirmed as Director of National Intelligence before Aug 1, 2026?

Before Aug 1, 2026

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 177 Open interest 2.2K Event When will Jay Clayton be confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

72%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 19 days · High 77% · Low 20% · 7d +221.7pp

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.