What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 41%, implying a 41% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

How many Senators vote to confirm as Director of National Intelligence?

Above 65

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 301 Open interest 712 Event How many Senators vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?

41%

implied YES probability

+13.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 4 days · High 26% · Low 15%

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.