What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 24%, implying a 24% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 11, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 0.5%

Closes Sep 11, 2026 (86d) 24h volume 200 Open interest 577 Event CPI in August

24%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 42 days · High 41% · Low 16% · 7d -8.8pp · 30d +47.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.