What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 24%, implying a 24% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 0.3%

Closes Aug 12, 2026 (56d) 24h volume 79 Open interest 840 Event CPI in July

24%

implied YES probability

+35.0pp 24h

Last 36 days · High 98% · Low 36% · 7d -52.0pp · 30d -14.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.