What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 62%, implying a 62% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 14, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 0.2%

Closes Oct 14, 2026 (119d) 24h volume 7 Open interest 354 Event CPI in September

62%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 28 days · High 80% · Low 45% · 7d +3.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.