What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 68%, implying a 68% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 2.9%

Closes Aug 12, 2026 (56d) 24h volume 4 Open interest 1.2K Event Core inflation in July 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

68%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 9 days · High 95% · Low 50% · 7d -27.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.