What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 58%, implying a 58% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 3.6%

Closes Aug 12, 2026 (56d) 24h volume 279 Open interest 1.2K Event Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

58%

implied YES probability

-10.0pp 24h

Last 12 days · High 97% · Low 80% · 7d -12.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.