What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 04, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 4.00%

Closes Jan 04, 2027 (178d) 24h volume 400 Open interest 400 Event SOFR at end of Q4 2026

42%

implied YES probability

+43.0pp 24h

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.