What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Radiant Industries

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 34 Open interest 5.3K Event Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?

42%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 62 days · High 88% · Low 2% · 7d +156.2pp · 30d +64.0pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.