What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Full Approval

Closes Jul 01, 2026 (13d) 24h volume 59 Open interest 587 Event FDA decision: Cytisinicline by Achieve Life Sciences (June 2026)

1%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 6 days · High 3% · Low 1%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.