What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 84%, implying a 84% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Denied (CRL Issued)

Closes Jul 01, 2026 (13d) 24h volume 152 Open interest 1.4K Event FDA decision: Cytisinicline by Achieve Life Sciences (June 2026)

84%

implied YES probability

Last 8 days · High 83% · Low 76% · 7d +6.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.