What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Will Rahm Emanuel be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?

Rahm Emanuel

Closes Nov 01, 2028 (845d) 24h volume 472 Open interest 1.4K Event Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)

28%

implied YES probability

+56.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 7 days · High 22% · Low 13%

Other outcomes in this event

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