What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Oct 1, 2026

Closes Oct 01, 2026 (83d) 24h volume 96 Open interest 539 Event Will the House pass additional defense funding?

50%

implied YES probability

Last 6 days · High 57% · Low 49%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.