kalshi Economics

Will U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP for FY2026 be below 5%?

Below 5%
Closes Oct 20, 2026 (125d) 24h volume 62 Open interest 20.0K Event U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
10%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 49 days · High 20% · Low 2% · 7d +225.0pp · 30d +160.0pp
20%2%

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