What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 32%, implying a 32% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Will legislation that makes “Department of War” the official statutory name of the United States Department of Defense become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 1.1K Open interest 10.0K Event Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law in 2026?

32%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 6 days · High 30% · Low 15%

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Will legislation that makes “Department of War” the official statutory name of the United States Department of Defense become law before Jan 1, 2027?

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