What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 90%, implying a 90% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 17, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 3.5%

Closes Jun 17, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 888 Open interest 4.0K Event Fed median dot plot in June 2026

90%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 15 days · High 92% · Low 33% · 7d +4.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.