What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

South Sudan

Closes Oct 01, 2026 (83d) 24h volume 4 Open interest 163 Event Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?

40%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 47% · Low 39%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.