What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

United States

Closes Oct 01, 2026 (83d) 24h volume 255 Open interest 1.7K Event Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?

16%

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 7 days · High 22% · Low 12%

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.