What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Exactly 3.5%

Closes Aug 12, 2026 (33d) 24h volume 11 Open interest 873 Event CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?

42%

implied YES probability

-11.0pp 24h

Last 8 days · High 17% · Low 9% · 7d +77.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.