What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 15%, implying a 15% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Exactly 4.1%

Closes Aug 07, 2026 (28d) 24h volume 429 Open interest 887 Event Unemployment rate in Jul 2026?

15%

implied YES probability

-11.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 18% · Low 7%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.