What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 24%, implying a 24% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Nov 4, 2026

Closes Nov 04, 2026 (140d) 24h volume 222 Open interest 16.7K Event Will Trump declare an election emergency?

24%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 82 days · High 58% · Low 13% · 7d -18.8pp · 30d 0.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.