What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2099. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi World

Mars

Closes Aug 01, 2099 (26708d) 24h volume 29 Open interest 38.1K Event Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?

12%

implied YES probability

Last 83 days · High 12% · Low 5% · 7d +20.0pp · 30d +71.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.