What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 5%, implying a 5% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

1 cuts

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (175d) 24h volume 60 Open interest 60.0K Event Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?

implied YES probability

Last 85 days · High 14% · Low 2% · 7d +2.6pp · 30d +200.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.