What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Will David Harbour win Movie/Limited Actor at the Emmy Awards?

David Harbour

Closes Jul 08, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 146 Open interest 150 Event Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

50%

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 3 days · High 9% · Low 1%

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.