What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 14, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Will Matthew Rhys win Movie/Limited Actor at the Emmy Awards?

Matthew Rhys

Closes Sep 14, 2027 (431d) 24h volume 533 Open interest 2.7K Event Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

50%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 23 days · High 98% · Low 22% · 7d -10.6pp

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.